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INSIGHTS: Conversion Score & Steal Score Explained

A look into how TennisViz calculates Conversion and Steal Scores
August 05, 2022
Novak Djokovic demonstrates great defence during the European clay swing.
Corinne Dubreuil/ATP Tour
Novak Djokovic demonstrates great defence during the European clay swing. By ATP Staff

Conversion Score calculates how often a player has won the point when attacking.

Steal Score calculates how often a player has won the point when defending.

INSIGHTS: <a href='https://edx.atptour.com/en/players/novak-djokovic/d643/overview'>Novak Djokovic</a> & <a href='https://edx.atptour.com/en/players/stan-wawrinka/w367/overview'>Stan Wawrinka</a> In Conversion Scores
INSIGHTS: Novak Djokovic & Stan Wawrinka In Conversion Scores

INSIGHTS: <a href='https://edx.atptour.com/en/players/novak-djokovic/d643/overview'>Novak Djokovic</a> & <a href='https://edx.atptour.com/en/players/stan-wawrinka/w367/overview'>Stan Wawrinka</a> In Steal Scores
INSIGHTS: Novak Djokovic & Stan Wawrinka In Steal Scores
In the example above, Djokovic had superior Conversion and Steal Scores compared to Wawrinka:
Djokovic won 22/29 points when in attack = 76% Conversion Score
Djokovic won 12/28 points when in defence = 43% Steal Score

Attack and defence definitions:
Attack: a player has an advantage in the point and a higher probability of winning the point.
Defence: a player has a disadvantage in the point and has a lower probability of winning the point.

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Artificial intelligence considers multiple data points when identifying whether the player is in attack or defence. These include:
- The quality of the incoming ball. E.g., A player receiving a lower quality shot will increase the chance of that player being in attack.
- The player’s location on the court. E.g., A player contacting the ball further up the court will increase the chance of that player being in attack.
- The player’s contact point. E.g., A player contacting a very low ball, or playing on the stretch, will increase the chance of that player being in defence.
- The opponent’s recovery position. E.g., A player creating space by moving their opponent out of position will increase the chance of that player being in attack.

Calculating Conversion and Steal Scores
Conversion Score=(Points won in attack)/(Total points in attack) | Steal Score=(Points won in defence)/(Total points in defence)

Figure 1 shows the Tour average Conversion and Steal Scores for ATP players.

Figure 1 Tour average Conversion and Steal Scores for ATP players
Figure 1 Tour average Conversion and Steal Scores for ATP players

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